Prognostic utility of quantifying evolutionary ST-segment depression on early follow-up electrocardiogram in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL Yan, R. T., Yan, A. T., Mahaffey, K. W., White, H. D., Pieper, K., Sun, J., Pepine, C. J., Biasucci, L. M., Gulba, D. C., Lopez-Sendon, J., Goodman, S. G. 2010; 31 (8): 958-966

Abstract

Although ST-segment depression (STD) on the admission electrocardiogram (ECG) confers adverse prognosis in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE-ACS), the implications of STD on follow-up ECG remain uncertain. We determined the prognostic significance of STD on follow-up ECG performed within 12-24 h of admission and whether its quantitative evaluation can further refine risk stratification.The admission and follow-up ECGs of 3877 patients in the SYNERGY trial were analysed for the presence (>or=1 mm) and extent (maximum magnitude on any single lead) of STD. Of the 1110 patients presenting with STD on admission, 534 (48.1%) with persistent STD at follow-up had higher mortality at 30 days (7.1 vs. 3.6%, P = 0.01) and 6 months (10.7 vs. 5.2%, P = 0.001) than those with normalized STD. Among 2767 patients without STD on admission, 174 (6.3%) developed new STD on follow-up ECG and experienced increased mortality compared with those without such interval change (30 days: 4.0 vs. 1.7%, P = 0.035; 6 months: 8.0 vs. 3.3%, P = 0.001). After adjustment for established clinical prognosticators and the extent of STD on admission, every 1 mm increment of STD on the follow-up ECG independently predicted a graded increase in 30-day mortality [hazards ratio (HR) = 1.60, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.29-1.98, P < 0.0001], and death/myocardial infarction at 30 days (HR = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.03-1.36, P = 0.017) and 6 months (HR = 1.17, 95% CI = 1.03-1.32, P = 0.016).The magnitude of STD on a routine 12-24 h follow-up ECG provides incremental prognostic information beyond established clinical prognosticators and the extent of STD on admission. Incorporating a follow-up ECG and its quantitative evaluation for STD may further refine risk stratification of patients with NSTE-ACS.

View details for DOI 10.1093/eurheartj/ehp548

View details for Web of Science ID 000277278900018

View details for PubMedID 20034973