Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract Lima, H. A., Endo, Y., Alaimo, L., Moazzam, Z., Munir, M. M., Shaikh, C., Resende, V., Guglielmi, A., Marques, H. P., Cauchy, F., Lam, V., Poultsides, G. A., Popescu, I., Alexandrescu, S., Martel, G., Hugh, T., Endo, I., Kitago, M., Shen, F., Pawlik, T. M. 2022

Abstract

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n?=?123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent?=?20 ng/mL,?>?20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS?=?8.0, TBS?>?8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e.,?

View details for DOI 10.1007/s11605-022-05469-9

View details for PubMedID 36171471