Machine learning identification of thresholds to discriminate osteoarthritis and rheumatoid arthritis synovial inflammation. Arthritis research & therapy Mehta, B., Goodman, S., DiCarlo, E., Jannat-Khah, D., Gibbons, J. A., Otero, M., Donlin, L., Pannellini, T., Robinson, W. H., Sculco, P., Figgie, M., Rodriguez, J., Kirschmann, J. M., Thompson, J., Slater, D., Frezza, D., Xu, Z., Wang, F., Orange, D. E. 2023; 25 (1): 31

Abstract

We sought to identify features that distinguish osteoarthritis (OA) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained synovial tissue samples.We compared fourteen pathologist-scored histology features and computer vision-quantified cell density (147 OA and 60 RA patients) in H&E-stained synovial tissue samples from total knee replacement (TKR) explants. A random forest model was trained using disease state (OA vs RA) as a classifier and histology features and/or computer vision-quantified cell density as inputs.Synovium from OA patients had increased mast cells and fibrosis (p < 0.001), while synovium from RA patients exhibited increased lymphocytic inflammation, lining hyperplasia, neutrophils, detritus, plasma cells, binucleate plasma cells, sub-lining giant cells, fibrin (all p < 0.001), Russell bodies (p = 0.019), and synovial lining giant cells (p = 0.003). Fourteen pathologist-scored features allowed for discrimination between OA and RA, producing a micro-averaged area under the receiver operating curve (micro-AUC) of 0.85±0.06. This discriminatory ability was comparable to that of computer vision cell density alone (micro-AUC = 0.87±0.04). Combining the pathologist scores with the cell density metric improved the discriminatory power of the model (micro-AUC = 0.92±0.06). The optimal cell density threshold to distinguish OA from RA synovium was 3400 cells/mm2, which yielded a sensitivity of 0.82 and specificity of 0.82.H&E-stained images of TKR explant synovium can be correctly classified as OA or RA in 82% of samples. Cell density greater than 3400 cells/mm2 and the presence of mast cells and fibrosis are the most important features for making this distinction.

View details for DOI 10.1186/s13075-023-03008-8

View details for PubMedID 36864474

View details for PubMedCentralID PMC9979511